We’re back after a brief hiatus, and we’ve got two excellent games to welcome us back. First, the Knicks will attempt to secure what would likely be an insurmountable 3-1 series lead against the Celtics. Next, the Warriors aim to tread water without Stephen Curry and defend their home court against a Timberwolves team that seems to be hitting its stride.

Here’s what we've got today:

• Celtics vs. Knicks Pick

• Timberwolves vs. Warriors Pick

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Celtics vs. Knicks Pick

It’s fantastic to see the Celtics as such small favorites. There is every reason to believe that Boston will cover 6.5 points easily, especially after a strong performance in Game 3.

Only a legendarily bad shooting spell could put the Celtics down two games. Boston shot worse than 20% from three in their first two games against the Knicks and still managed to lose two games by a combined four points. Everyone knew that if the Celtics shot any sort of decent percentage from deep, they would score a blowout win, which was exactly what happened in Game 3. There is no reason to think that anything different applies tonight.

The offensive struggles of New York are another huge factor. The Knicks have relied heavily on Jalen Brunson, hitching the team’s offensive performance to him. Without a huge game from him, it’s nearly impossible for New York to win. They do not have the offensive depth or the shooting capability to keep pace with the Celtics otherwise.

Overall, it’s hard to see the Knicks keeping things close. The Celtics don’t even have to shoot well. Instead, they just have to put up average numbers from deep to lock up a dominant win. We’re happy to hammer Boston’s spread.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Pick

It’s a shame the Warriors are without Stephen Curry, because this series had the makings of an instant classic if he stayed healthy. Instead, it will likely turn into a bit of a one-sided affair as Golden State attempts to solve its offensive problems with a variety of non-Curry solutions.

One such solution emerged in Game 3, when Jonathan Kuminga dropped 30 points to keep the Warriors competitive. There is almost no chance that Kuminga will replicate that outing, seeing as it was his best game of the entire season. Even with his contributions, Golden State did not get enough out of its supporting cast, as only Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield made it into double-digit scoring range. The Warriors also shot 43% from three, a number that will almost certainly decrease in Game 4.

The Timberwolves underperformed in a variety of ways to make Game 3 much closer than it should have been. Minnesota received nearly no offensive contributions from its vaunted bench, with Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker combining for 11 points. That, combined with an overall terrible day of shooting from the field, led to a tight game. It’s fair to expect positive regression in both categories, which should be enough to lead the Timberwolves to a win and cover on the road.

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