💸 UFC Fight Night - Rodriguez vs. Waterson

• 5 min read
💸 UFC Fight Night - Rodriguez vs. Waterson

We realize this week has been slightly wonky - thanks for bearing with us!

We hope you took our advice and took the Under 2.0, 2.5 on the Chelsea vs. Real Madrid UEFA Champions Semifinal.  

Manchester City will take on Chelsea on May 29th in the Final.   The lines area already out there, and I'm sure there will be endless speculation leading up to the match.  

Lines from Bovada

This weekend, here are the highlights:

  1. PGA Tour - The Wells Fargo Championship is under way
  2. English Premier League - In a UEFA Champions Final preview, Chelsea is taking on Manchester City as part o the EPL tomorrow
  3. NBA - The Denver Nuggets (+155) take on the Utah Jazz tonight with a +/- 4 spread
  4. MLB - The Pittsburgh Pirates (+137) take on the Chicago Cubs tonight with a +/-1.5 spread
  5. NHL - The Dallas Stars (+130) take on the Tampa Bay Lightning tonight with a +/-1.5 spread
  6. UFC Fight Night on Saturday (Marina Rodriguez takes on Michelle Waterson in the Main Event).  Rodriguez is favored (-220).  Due to an injury to TJ Dillashaw, this weekend’s main event of Cory Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw will be postponed to a later date.
  7. League of Legends Mid-Season Invitational

Let's see where the sharp money is coming down for the NBA, MLB and NHL matchups today:

Find out where the sharp money is laying.

NBA:

Pulled from sportsinsights.com

NBA Line Projections:

NHL:

Pulled from sportsinsights.com

NHL Line Projections:

Pulled from sportsinsights.com

MLB:

Pulled from sportsinsights.com

MLB Line Projections:

How to look at this:

  1. This shows you where the bets (#) and the amount of money ($) are laying down across different bets.
  2. The interesting stuff is when the number of tickets and the amount of money differs.  

Do with it what you will!


UFC Fight Night - Rodriguez vs. Waterson (Saturday, May 8th)

Rodriguez is a -200 favorite (risk $200 to win $100), while Waterson is priced at +175 in the latest Rodriguez vs. Waterson odds from William Hill Sportsbook.

In the co-main event, Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone  is the -125 favorite against prospect Alex Morono (+105) in a welterweight battle.

Here are a few picks across the landscape:

MMA Mania:

Prediction: Rodriguez def. Waterson by technical knockout

Reasoning: The most likely scenario is Rodriguez goes into bulldozer mode, overwhelming Waterson and securing a first or second-round stoppage.

Draft Kings:

Predictions:

  • Rodriguez def. Waterson
  • Geoffry Neal def. Neil Magny
  • Alex Morono def. Donald Cerrone (predicted upset)
  • Diego Ferreira def. Gregor Gillespie

The last two are upsets they are taking.  They feel Ferreira has the potential to overwhelm Gillespie early, and that the wear and tear of 16 years in the fight game has finally started to add up, and that Cerrone no longer has the ability to keep the young wolves at bay.

PGA Tour - Wells Fargo

Here are some props and picks to throw down on:

Golfweek:

  • Xander Schauffele vs. Viktor Hovland (-105)

Schauffele has poor course history at Quail Hollow with a T-72 finish in 2018 and a missed cut at the 2017 PGA Championship played here.

  • Justin Thomas vs. Jon Rahm (-110)

Rahm leads the Tour with 2.28 total strokes gained on the field per round this season. Thomas leads in Strokes Gained: Approach, but Rahm is the longer hitter and that will provide the advantage at the 7,500-yard, par-71 venue.

  • Top 10: Doc Redman (+1600)

At his best, his game is well-suited to Quail Hollow. The venue could help him round back into form.

  • Top South American: Joaquin Niemann (+110)

Double down this week with Niemann’s 1.38 SG: Tee-to-Green and 1.72 total strokes gained per round both easily ranked as the best in this four-man group.

  • Rory McIlroy (+2800)

McIlroy is their pick to win this week as the former world No. 1 looks to move past a missed cut at the Masters ahead of 2021’s second major.

PGATour.com

CBS Sports:

League of Legends - Mid-Season Invitational

Watch all streams here: https://www.twitch.tv/riotgames

Looking at the squads heading to Iceland, DWG KIA are the clear favorites. I am a big proponent of backing teams with experience on the big stage, and four of the five starters from DWG are the reigning world champions.

With RNG as a clear No. 2, China’s champions do have some inexperience at critical positions.

If you want to put a flyer on longshots Cloud9, Unicorns of Love or PSG Talon, I wouldn’t blame you, but DWG KIA are built to win this tournament.

If you want a longshot - Cloud9 has 11.00 odds to make the final. Regardless of what you think of North America as a region as a whole, that is a tempting bet. First, while North America has never won a major international event, they have performed well historically at MSI, with Counter Logic Gaming making the finals in 2016 and then Team Liquid making the 2019 finale. That’s two of the last four MSI tournaments where NA has made it into the final.

Happy betting!


We'll have more lines, more analysis, more opportunities and more picks from around the sports world next week.  Be sure to subscribe to premium if you want to make sure you don't miss a thing and see regular updates regarding the sharp money: https://www.bettorsecrets.com/subscribe/.

Want to see more?  Write us at michael@bettorsecrets.com.

We'll see you again next week.  Good luck out there!


Where to Place Bets:

United States:

Physical Sportsbooks Allowed: AK, DE, IL, MI, MT, NM, NY, NC

Full Mobile Betting Allowed: CO, IN, NH, NJ, OR, PA, RI, WV: Mobile Betting Allowed

Limited Mobile Betting Allowed:  IA (need to register in person), NV (need to register in person), MS (only permitted within casino)

Legalized, but on hold: TN, VA, WA, DC, MD, OH, SD, LA


 

← 💸 Kentucky Derby Controversy
💸 UEFA Champions League Semifinal: Real Madrid vs. Chelsea →

Subscribe to Bettor Secrets

Subscribe to the newsletter and unlock access to member-only content.

You've successfully subscribed to Bettor Secrets
Welcome! You are now a Bettor Secrets subscriber.
Welcome back! You've successfully signed in.
Success! You are now a paying member and have access to all content.
Success! Your billing info is updated.
Billing info update failed.